Sanders now holds a decisive lead over his challengers– to see how his efficiency is translating to delegates, follow in addition to our live delegate tracker here.
Nevada Democratic caucus live results
Here are the returns from the final tally outcomes:
Here are the results from the first tally, or alignment:
The 3rd– and essential– set of outcomes are the county convention delegate equivalents, which will be converted into nationwide pledged delegates.
These will update live over the course of the day as we get brand-new results.
Catch up on live protection from the caucuses:
- Bernie Sanders wins the Nevada Democratic caucuses
- Cable news hosts and experts freak out as Bernie Sanders looks to be running away with Nevada
- Bernie Sanders’ Nevada win cements his frontrunner status
- Joe Biden’s support among black voters is eroding days ahead of make-or-break primaries
- Elizabeth Warren purchased a full-page advertisement in a GOP billionaire’s newspaper so she could ridicule him about the $2.3 billion he ‘d pay under year one of her wealth tax
- Elizabeth Warren shredded competitors in Nevada.
- Check Out more about the caucus process will unfold: The Nevada caucuses are the first because the catastrophe in Iowa.
Sanders has won 9 and former Vice President Joe Biden has won 2 out of Nevada’s 36 pledged delegates up until now with 23%of the precinct caucus results reporting as of 8 p.m. Pacific Time.
The first 2 states in the process, Iowa and New Hampshire, are both over 93%white. In Nevada, however, just 49%of the population is non-Hispanic white, compared to 29%that is Hispanic or Latino of any race, 10%that is African-American, and 9%that is Asian.
Of Nevada’s 36 national promised delegates:
- 23 are allocated proportionally between the state’s four congressional districts. The very first district gets five delegates, and the three others are designated 6 delegates each.
- 8 at-large and 5 PLEO (celebration leader and chosen official) delegates will be chosen and assigned based upon the statewide popular vote.
Like in many other states, prospects should break 15%of the vote in a given district or constituency to win any delegates at all.
Unlike a routine primary, Nevada is a caucus, suggesting that individuals will collect in common places to express their preferences for president. The caucuses have two rounds of choice expression, or alignments, implying caucusgoers have an opportunity to shift their support.
Caucusgoers whose first-choice candidate does not fulfill the 15%viability threshold in the first positioning can either switch their assistance to a candidate who is practical, attempt to make their picked candidate feasible on the 2nd round, or be uncommitted, implying the final results could be unforeseeable.
The results of Saturday’s Democratic primary are most likely to be particularly important for Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden, both of whom are expecting a strong comeback after their 4th- and fifth-place surfaces in New Hampshire.
Who does the polling say is ahead?
The state of Nevada and its presidential caucuses, in particular, are notoriously hard and expensive to precisely poll.
As Vox just recently reported, a higher-than-average proportion of the electorate in Nevada operates in the casino and night life market, implying that their population has higher turnover and is more fluid than in a lot of states, offering pollsters a small base of registered or likely citizens to work with.
And much of those with tasks on the Vegas Strip or in other nightlife or hospitality-related careers work graveyard shifts or outside the bounds of a typical nine-to-five schedule, making them much harder to reach by telephone.
On top of that, Nevada just started utilizing presidential caucuses rather of primaries in 2008, meaning that pollsters have rather limited information with which to construct accurate designs and weights for their caucus studies, an issue compounded by the varying population in Nevada.
According to FiveThirtyEight’s aggregated tracker of Nevada surveys, Sanders currently holds a comfortable lead, polling at 30%usually with the other candidates mainly far behind. On the day of the caucuses, Buttigieg is at 15.3%, Biden is at 14.4%, Warren is at 12%, Steyer at 10.2%, and Klobuchar is at 9%.
But the additional unpredictability of caucus turnout, the ranked-choice system used in early ballot, and the re-alignment procedure in the caucuses themselves suggest that the outcome could be quite various from what preliminary polls show.
While Nevada was when a battleground state, it’s been swinging into solid Democratic territory for the previous several election cycles. Former Democratic candidates President Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton comfortably brought the state in the 2008, 2012, and 2016 general elections, and five out the state’s 6 congressional representatives are now Democrats.
In 2016, previous Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton won the Nevada caucuses with 52.6%of the vote compared to 47.3%for Sen. Bernie Sanders.